Text: “Taliban fighters execute 22 commandos as they try to surrender”

“Dawlat Abad, Afghanistan (CNN)Over clear but unsteady video, the words ring out: “Surrender, commandos, surrender.” Several men emerge from a building; they are clearly unarmed.Gunfire erupts. At least a dozen men are seen shot to death amid cries of “Allahu Akhbar” — God is Great. The victims were members of an Afghan Special Forces unit: their executioners, the Taliban. The summary killings took place on June 16 in the town of Dawlat Abad in Faryab province, close to Afghanistan’s border with Turkmenistan.” https://edition.cnn.com/2021/07/13/asia/afghanistan-taliban-commandos-killed-intl-hnk/index.html

With the U.S. withdrawn from Afghanistan there were predictions made about how the Taliban would react and how much control over the country they would be able to gain. Some of these predictions may have had more “certainty” due to the knowledge and information and the process behind developing the prediction. In other cases the predictions were nothing more than TV talking heads repeating rehearsed talking points.